What are the odds the Blue Jays extend Vladimir Guerrero Jr before Spring Training?
Toronto Blue Jays fans want to know when the front office will extend Vladimir Guerrero Jr. What are the odds that this extension gets done before February 18th?
To say the Toronto Blue Jays' front office is under a microscope this offseason would be an understatement. The team is coming off a disappointing campaign and is running out of time to capitalize on its young core.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr is the face of the franchise and is entering the final year of his current contract.
The 25-year-old slugger recently avoided arbitration by agreeing to a $28.5-million salary for the 2025 season, but getting a new deal done before the Spring Training deadline should remain the organization's No. 1 priority.
Unfortunately for Blue Jays fans, oddsmakers do not like Toronto's chances of extending Guerrero before the season starts.
His odds of signing a new contract before February 18th are +400 (20% implied probability).
Many players don't want to negotiate contracts during the season, and Guerrero may be one of those players, meaning if a deal doesn't get done before the season starts, there's a good chance he's heading toward free agency in 2025.
Given the recent free-agent contracts handed out to Shohei Ohtani and Juan Soto - both at least $700 million total - it's in the Blue Jays' best interest to not let their best player hit the open market.
The Blue Jays have money to spend, though. They reportedly placed second in the Shohei Ohtani sweepstakes last year and narrowly missed out when Juan Soto tested free agency this offseason.
They also seem to be interested in every big-name free agent available.
Paying up to keep Guerrero north of the border seems like a no-brainer.
The "always a bridesmaid, never a bride" reputation is getting tiresome for Blue Jays fans, and president Mark Shapiro and general manager Ross Atkins can earn back a bit of trust by agreeing to a long-term deal with Vladimir Guerrero Jr before the deadline.
And if they add another bat to a lineup, perhaps Alex Bregman or Anthony Santander, not only will that make Vladimir Guerrero Jr happy he stayed, but it will give Blue Jays fans something to be excited
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